Trump may hope sanctions will pressure Iran's regime, its leaders are betting otherwise

Trump's Sanctions on Iran: Pressure or Posturing?

By Amir Azimi, BBC Persian Editor

The US has announced a new wave of sanctions against Iran, targeting its financial connections globally. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described it as an "economic D-Day," aiming to isolate any nation doing business with Iran.

However, Iranian Economy Minister Ali Madanizadeh dismissed the announcement as "the same old talk" and assured that Iran is prepared for all scenarios. This reaction highlights a crucial question: What new leverage can the US bring to bear on Iran?

Bessent threatened secondary sanctions against countries and companies continuing trade with Iran, but the overall strategy is not novel. Iran has long faced US economic pressure, including penalties on foreign entities trading with it.

The significance lies in whether Washington can enforce these sanctions more effectively than previously. The US blockade has already impacted Iran's oil exports and imports of goods and equipment. While land borders provide alternative routes, they cannot fully replace maritime trade, especially for oil.

China, a key trading partner, opposes the sanctions, calling them illegal. If the new measures fail to close existing loopholes, they might strengthen Iranian hardliners opposed to negotiations with the US.

Moreover, Washington's tough stance leaves little room for diplomacy. With Pakistan and other mediators attempting to revive talks, the US hasn't ruled out further military actions, potentially weakening pro-deal Iranian officials.

Iranians are already feeling the economic impact of the war, with high inflation and a rapidly devaluing currency. The sanctions further restrict access to foreign currency, affecting imports and businesses. Negin, a 34-year-old woman, shared her experience: "I don't go to the cinema, theatre, or concerts. I do what I can to save money."