Why Tories are talking about winning the next election - BBC News
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In-depth Look at Tory Conference Optimism
By Brian Wheeler, Political Reporter
Published 5 hours ago
Political party conferences can be peculiar events, where positive thinking and hopeful rhetoric sometimes outweigh reality. This could be attributed to the atmosphere of camaraderie and shared ideals among like-minded individuals during these gatherings.
Considering the recent political context, one might question the Tories' optimistic mood at their annual conference in Birmingham. Despite being out of power since 2024 and facing potential defeat in upcoming elections according to some polls, senior figures within the party, including leader Kemi Badenoch, are vocalizing aspirations of winning the next general election outright and forming a government.
Reasons for Tory Optimism:
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Overcoming Reform UK Threat: One significant factor is the apparent resolution of the potential threat posed by Reform UK, which loomed large during last year's conference.
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Kemi Badenoch's Popularity: Badenoch has garnered positive public impressions, with her approval ratings soaring in recent months. According to pollsters More In Common, she is one of only two party leaders with a net positive rating, alongside Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
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Recovery Signs: Despite overall perceptions of the Tories as "outdated" and "divided," More In Common's presentation at a fringe meeting suggested potential for recovery, highlighting a pool of undecided voters who might consider supporting the Tories under the right circumstances.
Challenges Ahead:
However, Conservatives acknowledge a significant hurdle: voter distrust. They struggle to convince voters they can deliver on promises made during their 14 years in government.
Badenoch's Approach:
Badenoch addresses this trust issue by emphasizing a new leadership era within the party. She has shifted focus away from "culture war" rhetoric and towards economic solutions, outlining her guiding principles that reflect a return to traditional Conservative values. While she doesn't claim immediate election victory, she has ruled out forming a coalition with Reform UK in a hung parliament, stating her preference for another election.
Cautious Optimism:
Conservative chairman Kevin Hollinrake, while acknowledging the party's current challenges, expressed caution at the More In Common fringe meeting: "We are not where we need to be right now."