The Republican candidates walking a Trump tightrope
8 minutes ago
By Anthony Zurcher, North America correspondent in Florida, BBC
As US President Donald Trump hits the campaign trail ahead of the midterm elections, he is mounting an aggressive defense of America's economic performance. He often twists facts to support his narrative:
"We have the best economic numbers of any president in the history of our country, and yet people don't know about it because the press won't talk about it."
While some indicators, such as robust stock market indices and low US poverty rates, are indeed impressive, the broader picture is less favorable. Trump frequently dismisses concerns about affordability and rising living costs as "fake" and a "hoax" orchestrated by Democrats.
However, public opinion reflects a different reality:
- Inflation remains high at 3.4%, outpacing wage growth.
- The average cost of petrol has reached $4.37 per gallon, while beef prices are at record highs.
- According to YouGov, 63% believe the economy is "getting worse."
- An AP/NORC poll shows only 17% approve of Trump's handling of cost-of-living issues, and 26% support his economic policies overall.
These findings indicate that Trump's unpopular policies, such as tariffs, strict immigration enforcement, and the ongoing Iran conflict, are significant concerns for voters.
A Tightrope for Republicans
With the midterm elections approaching on November 3rd, Republican candidates face a delicate balancing act:
- Distancing themselves from Trump: This could help them win narrowly contested races by appealing to moderate voters who disapprove of his economic policies and overall performance.
- Staying loyal to Trump: Risks alienating voters concerned about the cost of living and other economic issues, potentially leading to losses in key districts.
Republican Congressman Byron Donalds, a staunch Trump ally, represents this conundrum: while Florida is traditionally Republican territory, even here, the economy—a top concern for voters—could determine the outcome of many races.